Spatial Variation of Sea Level Rise at Atlantic and Mediterranean Coastline of Europe

نویسندگان

  • Mustafa M. Aral
  • Biao Chang
چکیده

The inundation impact of sea level rise (SLR) is critical, since coastal regions of Europe house important critical infrastructures and large population centers. According to International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) studies, the analysis of the SLR problem is complicated. Beyond the reported complexities involved in the analysis of this phenomenon, the expected spatial variability of SLR in oceans further complicates this analysis. Spatial variability of SLR in oceans is both observed and also expected, according to IPCC studies. Estimation of spatial variation of SLR in oceans is necessary to identify the level of potential threats that may impact different coastline regions. Identification of geographic patterns of SLR based on local coastal data has been reported in the literature. Unfortunately, these estimates cannot be used in predictive analysis over a century. Thus, the solution of this problem using mathematical models is the other alternative that can be employed. Modeling solutions to this problem is currently in its infancy, and further studies in this field are needed. In this study, a methodology developed by the authors is used to estimate the SLR for the Atlantic and the Mediterranean coastline of Europe that also includes the other oceans. This effort utilizes the dynamic system model (DSM) with spatial analysis capability (S-DSM) to predict the regional sea level change. Results obtained provide consistent assessment of spatial variability of SLR pattern in oceans as well as the temperature changes over the 21st century. This approach may also be used in other coastal regions to aid management decision in a timely manner.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Coastal sea level rise in southern Europe and the nonclimate contribution of vertical land motion

[1] In this study, we extend the advanced approach of combining tide gauge and satellite altimetry data with supplemental equations from adjacent tide gauge records of at least 30 years of common data to investigate the relative importance of the nonclimate contribution of vertical land movement to the observed rates of sea level change along the coasts of southern Europe. The sensitivity tests...

متن کامل

Research Article: Modeling the trajectories of growth and reproduction in European Hake (Merluccius merluccius, L. 1758) from the Sea of Marmara, Turkey

The study evaluated to model the growth and reproduction aspects of the hake, Merluccius merluccius, in the Sea of Marmara. On-board sampling was conducted on the commercial beam trawl fishery from February 2016 to January 2017. For the growth trajectories, using monthly length frequency data set, different methods were employed to improve parameter optimization. The variation of reproductive i...

متن کامل

Monitoring coastline changes in Amirabad Port by surveying coastline and sea level

The process of erosion and desertification affects social communities, agricultural lands and natural resources in coastal areas. The rapid coastline changes would cause social and economic issues in the coastal areas. In this study, Miankaleh coasts and the eastern coastlines of Amirabad port have been surveyed due to existing benchmarks since June 2013 until December 2015 in order to analyze ...

متن کامل

The Effects of North Atlantic Oscillation on the atmospheric middle level Anomaly and precipitation of Iran.Case study: west of Iran.

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the middle levels of Atmosphere and precipitation changes in the West of country. To do this, first monthly rainfall data of 17 synoptic stations of the West Country in period of 30 years from 1984 to 2014 of country were collected from Meteorological Organization. As well as North Atlantic Oscillation...

متن کامل

Collapse of the echinoid Paracentrotus lividus populations in the Eastern Mediterranean—result of climate change?

The European purple sea urchin (Paracentrotus lividus) is considered to be a key herbivore throughout its distribution range--North-East Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea. It was also abundant in its eastern distributional edge, on rocky habitats of the coastline of Israel, but its populations have recently collapsed, and today it is an extremely rare species in the region. Field and laboratory ex...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2017